Expressing optimism over the India’s economic situation, the SBI Research in its latest report ‘Ecowrap’ has said that the country’s economy is on track to surpass 7 per cent growth rate in Fiscal Year 2023 (FY23) with manufacturing being the key driver. As per the report, India's growth in the fourth quarter of FY23 is likely to be 5.5 per cent, which would lead to the country's growth for FY23 at 7.1 per cent. According to Ecowrap, the variegated patterns of growth emerging across the globe is bringing forth unprecedented challenges before policymakers, regulators and economists in assessing the real rates of projected growth, not only during the current year -- 2023 -- but continuing through 2024 and 2025 as the inflation trajectory management for central banks has been elongated after the surprising turn of events last year.
Amidst this global hullabaloo, the SBI Research report said India is expected to continue its showdown in pursuing a different pathway of zeroing in on drivers of growth, looking for a renewed surge in resilient manufacturing while supporting services sector to embrace enhanced efficiency. Locally, domestic consumption and investment stand to benefit from stronger prospects for agricultural and allied activities, strengthening business and consumer confidence, and strong credit growth while supply responses and cost conditions are poised to improve as inflationary pressure is easing.
Besides, it said India Inc continues to front lead the economic turnaround while embracing better operational and financial efficiency. It added in Q4FY23, around 1,700 listed entities reported top line growth of 12, while PAT grew by around 19 per cent as compared to the same period previous year. It also said the same set of companies reported earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) growth of around 23 per cent in Q4FY23.
SBI research report said green shoots are also emerging on foreign capital inflows in capital markets with year-to date (YTD) foreign institutional investors (FIIs) inflows in FY24 touching $6 billion, a reversal of trend from 2022. It also added that start-ups financing has been hit due to banking turmoil in the US, in particular failure of niche banks though it also offers a gearing up pedestal to domestic FIs to ring fence the financial needs of these changelings internally to ensure the sweet spot enjoyed by India grows in a disruptive and disproportionate manner.
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