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Bond yields spike to three months high level on Tuesday

02 Apr 2013 Evaluate

Bond yields rose to three months high level on Tuesday on concerns over record high current account deficit, which limits the RBI's space for monetary easing. India’s current account deficit hit an all-time high of 6.7 percent of the country's GDP for the quarter ended December 2012. This worse-than-expected CAD for the three-month period was down due to rising imports of oil and gold, while exports recorded flat growth for the period owing to a global slowdown.

Further, even upcoming debt supplies weighed on the sentiment. The government plans to borrow Rs 349,000 crore during April-September period out of a total borrowing of Rs 579,000 crore for the full fiscal year to March 2014.

On the global front, US 10-year Treasury yield hit a two-month low in Asian trade on Tuesday, after data overnight showed a slowing in US manufacturing growth, stirring concerns about its economic outlook. Meanwhile, Brent crude steadied under $111 a barrel on Tuesday, supported by prospects of stronger appetite in Asia but hurt by concerns over the pace of economic recovery in top consumer, the United States. Much positive for the commodity, Saudi Arabia Oil Minister Ali Al-Naimi said on Monday he expected to see a recovery in demand for the kingdom's crude in Asia but stopped short of quantifying the expansion.

Back home, the yields on 10-year 8.79% - 2021 bonds were trading 3 basis points higher at 7.98% from its previous close of 7.95% on Thursday. Bond markets were closed on Friday and Monday for holidays.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps eased 1 basis point at 7.21% from its previous close of 7.22% on Thursday.

The Government of India have announced the sale (re-issue) of four dated securities for Rs  15,000 crore on April 5, 2013, which includes (i) “8.12 percent Government Stock 2020” for a notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction; (ii) “8.33 percent Government Stock 2026” for a notified amount of  Rs 6,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction; and (iii) “8.32 percent Government Stock 2032” for a notified amount of Rs 2,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction, (iv) “8.30 percent Government Stock 2042” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction.

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