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India's growth rate will improve to 6% in FY14: ADB

09 Apr 2013 Evaluate

Stronger external demand and progress on reforms could boost India's slowing economy to 6% growth this year. As per the multilateral funding agency ADB, reforms are required to facilitate more favorable investment environment and spur growth. However, cautioned that the country may fail to reach that level, if the government fails to pursue structural reforms further.

The agency in its report 'Asian Development Outlook 2013' has predicted growth in India to recover to 6% this year and 6.5% in 2014 from around 5% in 2012. As per the report, the growth forecast is an improvement over disappointing numbers last year but still far short of the capability of Asia's third-largest economy, which was seen few years back as a rising economic power that could even rival China, with the growth of over 9%.  

Highlighting inflation, as a key concern that is hampering India's scope to show high growth, ADB’s report said that the slowing growth has been paired with persistently high inflation. High prices, especially for food, limit the central bank's scope to reduce interest rates, although the Reserve Bank of India last month made its second cut this year to a key lending rate.  

Regarding the Asia’s emerging economies, it said that the growth in the developing Asia is expected to gain growth momentum this year, powered by rising domestic consumption and intra-regional trade, but authorities need to defend against the risks of inflation and asset bubbles arising from strong capital inflows.

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