India's export of cut and polished diamonds likely to decline by 22% in FY24: ICRA

27 Sep 2023 Evaluate

Rating agency ICRA in its latest report has said that India's export of cut and polished diamonds is projected to decline by 22 per cent to $17.2 billion in the current fiscal (FY24) due to weakened demand from the key consuming nations. In the first five months of the current fiscal, cut and polished diamond exports witnessed a sharp year-on-year decline of 31 per cent following lower export volumes and higher polished diamond prices. Export of cut and polished diamonds has been on a declining trend since the first half of 2022-23.

According to the report, the export contraction is primarily being driven by weak underlying demand conditions in key consuming nations like the US and Europe due to the inflationary pressures, leading to a shift in spending away from diamonds. It also said the demand from China, which accounts for 10-15 per cent of the global demand, has also not picked up meaningfully so far. In addition, it said competition from lab-grown diamonds, which are priced at a significant discount to natural diamonds, also accentuated the dip in volumes, particularly for the large-sized diamonds in the range of one to three carats. 

The report stated that the share of lab-grown diamonds within India's total cut and polished diamonds exports continues to rise. It said prices of rough diamonds remain elevated in FY2024, with current prices hovering around the 15-year median level, despite some softening seen in recent months. It noted that these prices had soared in the last two years, following limited supply from mining companies and robust revival in demand post the pandemic.


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