India’s economic growth prospects should remain strong with GDP expanding 6-7.1% during 2024-2026: S&P

17 Nov 2023 Evaluate

S&P Global Ratings expressing confident over India’s economic growth has said that the country’s economic growth prospects should remain strong over the medium term, with gross domestic product (GDP) expanding 6-7.1 per cent annually in fiscal years 2024-2026. In a report titled ‘Global Banks Country-By-Country Outlook 2024’, S&P said the banking sector’s weak loans will decline to 3-3.5 per cent of gross advances by March 31, 2025, on the back of structural improvement, including healthy corporate balance sheets, tighter underwriting standards and improved risk-management practices.

It added that interest rates in India are unlikely to rise materially, and this should limit the risk for the banking industry. S&P Primary Credit Analyst Deepali Seth Chhabria said ‘Unsecured personal loans have grown rapidly and could contribute to incremental NPLs. We believe underwriting standards for retail loans generally remain healthy and overall level of delinquencies remains within acceptable limits for this product category’.

The report said that global uncertainties will have a lesser impact on the Indian economy. It further said slower global growth and external demand will weigh on economic activity and could fuel further inflation. However, given that India is domestically oriented, the agency expects the economic growth to be less affected. Meanwhile, India’s real GDP rose 7.8 per cent year-on-year in the June quarter, up from 6.1 per cent in the March quarter.

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