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AUM of medium and small NBFCs to grow at CAGR of 25-30% over FY24, FY25: ICRA

17 Nov 2023 Evaluate

Credit rating agency ICRA in its latest report has said that the assets under management (AUM) of medium and small (M&S) non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), defined as those with AUM of up to Rs 100 billion, is likely to grow at a CAGR of 25-30% over FY2024 and FY2025. Lower base and larger share of high growth segments like affordable housing, microfinance, secured business loans (SBL), used vehicle loans, unsecured loans (personal & consumption loans and unsecured business loans), are expected to support AUM expansion of these NBFCs.

ICRA has assessed the performance of about 105 medium and small (M&S) NBFCs to bring out the key trends in this segment. This cohort of entities accounts for about 14% of the overall NBFC industry AUM (excluding infrastructure financing entities) as of March 2023 and their AUM grew at higher CAGR of 25% between March 2019 and March 2023 vis-a-vis NBFC industry AUM growth rate of 9%. 

According to the report, the reported gross stage 3 (GS3) of the cohort of M&S entities assessed by ICRA was manageable at 2.6% in March 2023 (4.2% in March 2022), which is lower than the levels reported by larger players (a sample of 39 entities considered for ICRA’s analysis), driven by write-offs and faster AUM growth. However, in the long-tail loans, the lagged GS3 were sizeably higher, e.g., two-year lagged GS3 in March 2023 for SBL and affordable housing loans in the ICRA sample set were higher at 3.2% and 3.7% vis-a-vis the reported GS3 of 1.8% and 2.3% respectively. ICRA expects the GS3 of M&S NBFCs to increase by up to 60 bps from March 2023 levels as the portfolio seasons over the next two years.


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