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Indian economy likely to grow by 6.2% in FY14: NCAER

08 May 2013 Evaluate

National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER), in its April 2013 Quarterly Review of the Economy, has projected that the Indian economy is expected to grow by 6.2 per cent in 2013-14. The optimistic projection of economic growth is mainly attributed to the projected growth in the agriculture sector. For this year, NCAER projected agriculture sector growth at 3.2 per cent, against a growth of 1.8 per cent in 2012-13 as per Advance Estimates.

The review has also projected the Centre’s fiscal deficit this financial year to be 5 per cent of the GDP which is higher than the Government's target of 4.8 per cent. NCAER’s GDP growth projection for the current fiscal is significantly higher than Reserve Bank of India’s GDP growth projection. The RBI in its annual monetary policy review for 2013-14 last week had projected GDP growth rate of the country for the current fiscal at 5.7 per cent.

The April Quarterly review said that there is revival of merchandise export growth in the fourth quarter of 2012–13, particularly led by a few commodities including petroleum products, oil cakes, gems and jewellery, engineering goods and cotton yarn. It expects exports to reach a value of $23.9 billion in 2013-14, and estimates imports will touch $15.8 billion.

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