October series progresses smoothly by the mid of the month

17 Oct 2011 Evaluate

So far the October F&O series has fared well for the Indian markets. Nifty has gained 52.40 points or over a percent to 5077.85 from the last series close of 5,015.45. The India VIX too has declined substantially and has came to 26 by the mid of the series expiry. Nifty has comfortable crossed the 5100 mark and is retaining it decently so far. Despite the strong bounce back last Friday, no significant long accumulation has been observed largely on account of the nifty trading close to its strong resistance level of 5,170.

An upward shift in Nifty option accumulation pattern is being observed. Among Nifty October call options, open interest in 5,300 and 5,400 strike. Closure of positions was evident in strike 5,100 wherein open interest declined to 4.20 million shares from 4.97 million shares. Among Nifty October put options, strike of 5,000 and 5,100 cumulatively added close to 4.92 million shares. Open interest in 4,700 strike that became more active during the start of the series declined to 4.36 million shares from 7.97 million shares. Data indicates a likely shift in the trading range to 5,000-5,400 levels from 4,800-5,200 levels.

Scrip wise, OI addition was seen in Delta Corp, TCS, Axis Bank, OBC, Polaris, HUL, Bajaj Auto and Bata while short build-up was seen in Maruti, Sesa Goa, Aurobindo Pharma, Tech Mahindra. On the other hand HCL Tech, Bharti, Cairn and Jindal Steel witnessed some short covering.


India VIX came down to 25.98 from 31.07 when the October series started, down by huge 16.38%. It took more than a month to come below the psychological 26 mark.

                                                             

Finally on 14 th October, Among Nifty calls, 5000 SP from the September month expiry was the most active call with a contraction of 0.58 million or 9.09%. Among Nifty puts, 4900 SP from the September month expiry was the most active put with addition of 1.22 million or 20.88%. The maximum Call OI outstanding for Calls was at 5000 SP (5.80 mn) and that for Puts was at 4900 SP (7.09 mn).


                                                             

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