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Indian economy likely to grow at 5.5-6.5 percent in 2013: Moody's

16 May 2013 Evaluate

As per the global rating agency Moody’s, Indian economy’s is expected to expand within the range of 5.5-6.5 percent in 2013, however, cautioned that the Government's measures to incentivise new investments and savings have been relatively small in scope and the country is struggling to boost investments and economic growth due to the high inflation and the growth is projected to improve further to 6-7 percent in 2014.

The rating agency said in its report that despite the recent decline in wholesale price inflation, CPI inflation remains in double digits, which points to pricing pressures elsewhere in the economy. Although, GDP growth is likely to pick up during 2013, it will probably take at least another year or two before the economy matches the pace of expansion seen during 2010 and 2011.

Referring to the country widening current account deficit (CAD), the agency noted that the CAD remains a persistent concern for India as it leaves the country vulnerable to capital exodus if investors' risk appetite starts to wane. The CAD touched an all-time high of 6.7 percent of GDP in the third quarter of FY13.

Further it said that the probability of slower-than-expected growth in key emerging markets -China, India and Brazil is a serious concern to the global recovery 

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