Bond yields nudge higher; Jan-Mar quarter GDP eyed

31 May 2013 Evaluate

Bond yields nudged higher on continued selling after the RBI governor said retail inflation remained high and several upside risks to inflation remain, thereby dampening hopes of a rate cut at the bank's June review. Dealer now await the March-quarter GDP data. On the macro-front, Indian economic growth for January-March quarter has probably nudged to 4.8% year-on-year, better than the 4.5 percent growth in the previous three months, which was the lowest in fifteen quarters

On the global front, U.S. Treasuries traded nearly unchanged on Thursday as investors waited for clues about future moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve, which has hinted recently it could soon slow its massive monetary easing program. Meanwhile, Brent futures held above $102 a barrel on Friday as the dollar softened on hopes the US Federal Reserve would maintain its stimulus measures, offsetting demand worries stemming from an unexpected rise in crude stockpiles in the top oil consumer.

Back home, the yields on 10-year 8.79% - 2021 bonds were trading 2 basis points (bps) higher at 7.46% after rising to 7.49% in early trades against its previous close of 7.44% on Thursday. The new 10-year bond was 2 bps higher at 7.21% against its previous close of 7.19% on Thursday.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading 4 basis points higher at 6.94% from its previous close of 6.90% on Thursday.

The Government of India have announced the sale (new/re-issue) of four dated securities for Rs 15,000 crore on May 31, 2013 (i) “New 6-year Government Stock 2019” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through yield based auction; (ii) “7.16 percent Government Stock 2023” for a notified amount of Rs 6,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction; (iii) “8.97 percent Government Stock 2030” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction and (iv) “8.83 percent Government Stock 2041” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through price based auction. The auctions will be conducted using multiple price method. The auctions will be conducted by the Reserve Bank of India, Fort, Mumbai on May 31, 2013 (Friday).

The Government of India have announced the sale “New Inflation Indexed Government Stock-2023” for a notified amount of Rs 1,000 crore through yield based auction on June 4, 2013. The auction will be conducted using uniform price method.

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