World Bank projects 6.7% GDP growth for India by FY'15

13 Jun 2013 Evaluate

With exports and private investment projected to strengthen and provide a boost to growth, India’s economic growth is expected to grow by 6.7% by next fiscal. As per the World Bank’s latest 'Global Economic Prospects' report, South Asia's regional growth will be driven mainly by a projected pick up in India, whose GDP in factor cost terms is projected to grow 5.7% in the 2013 fiscal year (ending in March 2014), and then accelerate to 6.5% and 6.7% in FY2013-14 and FY2014-15, respectively.

Further, it added that Indian economy’s recovery will depend on the pace of policy and fiscal reforms, and remains subject to significant uncertainty and downside risks. Further, faster-than-projected pick up in global demand and a larger than expected decline in commodity prices reflect some upside risks to the outlook.

However, the report also highlighted that a greater dependence on foreign investment inflows to finance India's significantly larger current account deficit compared to the past has increased its vulnerability to a sudden reversal of investor sentiment. It also added that the business sentiment in the manufacturing sector in India weakened to a four-year low in May and if these sentiments continue to remain weak in coming months, then this could adversely impact investment and growth.

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