Markets to get a recovery dose with ease in European crisis

04 Nov 2011 Evaluate
The Indian markets once again made a flat closing on Thursday however, the indices closed marginally in green supported by last hour short covering. Buying was seen in the bluechips while the broader indices still lacked the investors’ interest. Continuous surge in the food inflation too weighed on the morale. Today, the start is likely to be positive as global mood is recovering, the IT stocks that suffered a lot in previous session on worries that escalating debt problems in Europe will impact the global growth may get some boost as the European Central Bank has cut interest rates by a quarter point to 1.25 per cent to support the ailing euro zone economy. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has said that the sovereign-debt crisis in Europe has emerged as the “principal source of concern” for the global economy and much more needs to be done to restore confidence in markets. Also the PSU oil marketing companies are likely to move higher after implementing another rate hike in petrol prices. Oil companies have increased petrol prices by Rs 1.82 per litre from Thursday midnight; this is the fourth hike in prices this year. Investors will be also eyeing the G20 meet in France which will discuss on Greece and the euro and domestic indices may strengthen with a positive start in the European markets. 

There will be lots of scrip specific actions too based on their result announcements.Apollo Hospital, Bharti Airtel, Glaxosmithkline, HCL Infosystem, Marico, Nestle India, ONGC etc are among the many to announce their numbers today.

Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Thursday made investment in infra debt papers easier. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) can now sell their investments in infrastructure bonds up to $5 billion in one year instead of waiting for three years. They can also invest in infrastructure bonds with different maturities instead of only investing in papers with a residual maturity of five years.

The US markets surged on Thursday as the debt crisis issue in Europe eased after Greek PM backed off from referendum plan and ECB cut rates, investors hoped that lowering borrowing costs would help prevent a recession in Europe. The Asian markets have made a positive start and most of the indices are trading with good gains.

Back home, Indian frontline equity indices staged a smart bounce back after hitting intraday lows in the second half of trade and recovered over a percentage point from thereon to finish in the positive territory though with marginal gains. The benchmarks extended their consolidation phase for the second straight session as investors lacked conviction to open fresh positions amid a lot of uncertainties surrounding the European region. However, the late rebound in sentiments came on reports that the Greek government is on the brink of collapse as Papandreou's majority sank after Greek finance minister broke ranks over the referendum. On the domestic front, the upside for the market was also capped since weekly inflation numbers showed that food inflation surged to 12.21% during the week ended October 22, the highest level in nine months. Furthermore, India’s service sector PMI moderated for the second successive month in October since new business grew at its slowest pace since May 2009 on the back of slowdown in the global economy and monetary policy tightening. Meanwhile, PSU oil marketing companies continued to gain traction for a second straight session on the back of reports that government owned oil companies are planning to hike the petrol prices for the 13th time since June 2010, due to depreciation in rupee which increased the cost of imports of crude oil. Earlier on Dalal Street, the benchmark got off to a sluggish opening as investors largely remained influenced by the pessimistic sentiments prevailing in Asian markets amid reports that a bailout loan from the Europe and the IMF to Greece will be withheld until a referendum in December. The indices failed to show any resilience and continued to drift lower levels through the morning session. Hefty buying interests in the Power and high beta Real estate stocks led the recovery and helped the bourses to settle in the positive zone. Moreover, the broader markets finished on a mixed note but stayed in close to the previous closing levels. On the BSE sectoral space, the Power index remained the top gainer in the space and settled with over one and half a percent gains followed by the rate sensitive Realty pocket which too went home with similar gains. On the flipside, the IT and Consumer Durables counters settled as the top laggards in the space after suffering losses of over half a percent. Finally, the BSE Sensex gained 17.08 points or 0.10% to settle at 17,481.93, while the S&P CNX Nifty advanced by 7.30 points or 0.14% to close 5,265.75.

US markets surged on Thursday on getting good news from the Europe, Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou backed off his plan to put austerity measures to a national referendum. Also in the early trade the European Central Bank surprised markets by cutting its benchmark interest rate a quarter of a percentage point, to 1.25 percent. However the domestic economic news remained mixed as the first-time applications for unemployment benefits declined marginally and the factory orders rose, but an index measuring activity in the service sector was down in October. Dow Jones industrial average gained 208.21 points, or 1.76 percent, to 12,044.25. The S&P 500 was up 23.24 points, or 1.88 percent, to 1,261.14 while the Nasdaq closed higher by 57.99 points, or 2.20 percent, to 2,697.97.



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