India’s June services PMI falls from three months high to 51.7 in June

03 Jul 2013 Evaluate

In a further sign that Asia's third-largest economy is still struggling to come out of a quagmire of low growth and high inflation, the HSBC services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), based on a survey of around 400 companies, fell from May’s three-month high 53.6 to 51.7 in June. 

With services companies registering weaker output growth and manufacturers posting a second consecutive monthly decline, the HSBC India Composite Output Index, which measures activity in both the manufacturing and services sector, also fell from 52.0 in May to 50.9 in June. This was consistent with a marginal rate of expansion, which was the second-weakest in over a year-and-a-half.

Weaker gains in new work and subdued economic conditions mainly led the deceleration in output growth, as per the survey report.  Although, new orders placed at private sector firms in India increased during June, the overall rate of expansion was slight and the weakest in the current 50- month period of growth. While, services companies registered weaker gains in new work, production at manufacturers fell for the first time since March 2009. A sub-index for the Indian PMI that measures new business fell to a 20-month low of 51.9 in June from 53.2 in May, and consequently firms were less optimistic about the future.

Nevertheless, employment increased at faster rates across both the manufacturing and service sectors. Job creation for the private sector overall was moderate, but the quickest in nine months.

On the inflation front, faster rates of inflation were signaled in the Indian private sector during June as Input prices rose at the quickest pace in three months, amid evidence of higher raw material, labour and fuel costs.  The report highlighted that notwithstanding the slowdown, inflation readings firmed on the back of higher labour and raw material prices, with the depreciation of the rupee also cited as a factor.

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