OECD's Composite Leading Indicators see sign of growth in Indian economy

09 Jul 2013 Evaluate

As per the Paris-based think tank Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), though India’s growth remains relatively weak but the country’s economy is seeing signs of recovery, helped by gradual reduction of inflationary pressure. The economic outlook based on Composite Leading Indicators (CLI) is designed to anticipate turning points in economic activities.

OECD in its report stated that India’s CLI marginally rose to 97.6 in May from 97.3 in April, March and February, which points to a tentative upward change in momentum. The indicator however stood better at 97.7 in January. The report highlighted that the growth momentum in the two largest economies -India and China- is weaker than other ASEAN economies. Earlier, in May, OECD had revised lower Indian economic growth to 5.3 percent for 2013 from 5.9 percent projected earlier and had cautioned that structural bottlenecks could further constrain investment and growth potential. 

The OECD further said that its index of leading indicators pointed to moderate improvements in growth in most major OECD economies but in large emerging economies the composite leading indicators point towards stabilizing or slowing momentum. According to it, in most of the developed countries, growth prospects are expected to witness moderate improvements. CLIs for the United States and Japan continue to point to firm economic growth, while the CLIs for the United Kingdom, Canada and China point to growth close to trend rates. In the euro region, CLI continues to indicate a gain in growth momentum, while, indicators for Russia and Brazil, however, point to slowing momentum. 

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