Prices of cotton must fall 7-8% to be competitive: ICF

19 Jul 2013 Evaluate

Indian Cotton Federation (ICF) President J Thulasidharan stated that cotton prices should fall by a minimum of 7-8% in order to be competitive, which could only happen if there is fall in local physical prices and rupee would weaken further or both. The President added that the export volume in reality will get limited in the absence of above factors, and the firming of rupee is also likely to contribute to the adverse parity in Indian prices.

Moreover, China is believed to hold 8.33 million tonnes (MT) of cotton in reserve as on date, which is against their normal annual consumption of 8.02 MT. This clearly points out that Chinese imports is likely to be reduced substantially.

In spite of reduced imports at the end of cotton year 2013-14, China is likely to carry forward substantially a stock of 12.61 MT, with a stock-to-use ratio of 150 percent, which is going to be one of the major factors influencing the export of Indian cotton.

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