IMF retains India's growth forecast at 6.5% for fiscal 2026, 2027

20 Jan 2025 Evaluate

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its World Economic Outlook report has retained India's growth forecast at 6.5 per cent for fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027. It said the global body noted a slowdown in the Gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate adding that ‘growth in India also slowed more than expected, led by a sharper-than-expected deceleration in industrial activity.’ 

India's economic growth slowed in the second quarter of the current fiscal as it expanded only by 5.4 per cent whereas in the second quarter the GDP growth rate was recorded at 6.7 per cent. The GDP growth rate in fiscal 2024 was recorded at 8.4. However, the economy still holds the tag of ‘world's fastest growing economy’.

The report stated that the strong US dollar and potential policy rate adjustments in the United States are pressuring emerging market currencies. On the international front, the IMF forecasted that global growth is projected at 3.3 percent in both 2025 and 2026, below the historical (2000-19) average of 3.7 percent. The forecast for 2025 is broadly unchanged from that in the October 2024 World Economic Outlook (WEO), primarily on account of an upward revision in the United States offsetting downward revisions in other major economies.


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