Moody's Ratings has projected the Indian economy to grow by 7% in the current fiscal (FY25) and said robust economic expansion will drive growth in insurance premiums. It expects Indian insurers to benefit from sustained premium growth, helped by India’s robust economic expansion and rising demand for health insurance. Higher premium income, driven also by an anticipated rise in prices as the government reforms the country’s dominant state-owned insurance sector, will improve the industry's currently weak profitability.
It said India’s private sector insurers continue to reinforce their solvency, but it expects some pressure on their capital adequacy because of increased underwriting exposure and regulatory changes. It noted ‘We expect India's economy to grow by 7% in FY 2024 (year to March 2025), down slightly from 8.2% the previous year. India’s GDP per capita at purchasing power parity is also growing, up 11% year on year to $10,233 in FY2023’.
Higher average incomes coupled with consumers' increased risk awareness will support demand for insurance, particularly health cover. Total premiums grew by 16% in the first eight months of 2024, outpacing the 8% expansion achieved in FY 2023. We expect continued premium increases to bolster Indian insurers' revenue.
Moody's expects India's GDP to grow by 6.6% in FY 2025 (2025-26). India's insurance density (insurance premiums per capita) rose to $95 in FY 2023 from $92 in FY 2022, up from a historical average of below $80. However, the country's overall insurance penetration rate (insurance premiums as a share of GDP) was just 3.7% in FY 2023, still far below-developed markets such as the UK (9.7%) and the US (11.9%). This indicates that the Indian insurance industry still has ample growth potential.
MoneyWorks4Me is a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser (IA) dedicated to helping investors build long-term wealth through transparent, research-driven, conflict-free guidance. Founded in 2008, we started our journey as a Research Analyst (RA), providing deep fundamental analysis, intrinsic value insights, and long-term investing frameworks for Indian equities. In 2017, we transitioned to a full-fledged SEBI-registered Investment Adviser, strengthening our commitment to acting as a fiduciary—always putting the investor’s interest first.
To become India’s most trusted, research-powered fiduciary advisory platform—where every investor, regardless of experience, can make calm, confident, and well-reasoned investment decisions.
MoneyWorks4Me ensures this through: