Manufacturers getting slightly bullish for Q2: Ficci survey

05 Aug 2013 Evaluate

Manufacturers are slightly getting bullish about the economic condition of the country and expect the production in the second quarter (July-September) of FY14 to increase. A Ficci quarterly survey of 276 manufacturing units and associations has said that 47 percent that participated in it expect a slight upturn in manufacturing activity in the second quarter, against 37 percent in the previous quarter and 44 percent in the second quarter of FY13. Not only this, the number of participants expecting a fall in the production too declined to16 percent in the second quarter from 26 percent in the first quarter.

As per the survey findings, sectors such as chemicals, textiles, leather and footwear may witness an improvement in capacity utilisation in July-September 2013 quarter. Also demand in international markets such as the UK and Japan could lead to higher exports in the second quarter this year.

The survey participant were of the view that there will be slight upturn in the second quarter on the back of government’s efforts to remove bottlenecks by clearing large projects and a better export outlook. However, there were signs of worry in the survey too, as 85 percent of the respondents reported that the depreciation in rupee has taken a toll on the input costs of the manufacturers. The survey revealed that on an average, rupee depreciation has increased input cost by 11 per cent for the manufacturers. Also, the survey showed that sectors such as automotive, capital goods, paper and food could still witness a subdued growth in the second quarter of FY14. Further, around 49 percent of manufacturers were of the view that power deficiency could act as a major constraint for manufacturing growth, while 37 percent respondents were dependent on captive power for their manufacturing units. Also, 39 percent of respondents have no plans for capacity addition for the next two quarters.

The survey results are likely to be boost the morale of India Inc after the growth rate of eight core industries slowed down to four-month low of 0.1 percent in June, as against 7.9% in the same month of previous year mainly due to declining output of crude oil, coal, power and natural gas.

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