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India’s economic growth likely to slow to 6.4% in 2025: Moody's Analytics

21 Feb 2025 Evaluate

Moody's Analytics in its report titled 'Asia-Pacific Outlook: Chaos Ahead' has said that economic growth in India is likely to slow to 6.4 per cent in 2025, from 6.6 per cent in 2024, as new US tariffs and softening global demand weigh on exports. The agency expects global growth to ease to 3.7 per cent in 2025 and 3.5 per cent in 2026 from an estimated 3.9 per cent in 2024.

It added that growth across the Asia-Pacific economy will slow in 2025 as trade tensions, policy shifts, and uneven recoveries knock the region's fortunes. It added that high-income economies, Japan and Australia, will see modest improvements in 2025 as inflation recedes.

It projected Chinese GDP growth slowing to 4.2 per cent in 2025 and 3.9 per cent in 2026 from 5 per cent in 2024. Currently, GDP in China, APAC’s largest economy, is about 1.2% of its pre-pandemic trend but roughly in line with the global average.


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