With recently undertaken supportive regulatory measures, a boost to consumption from tax cuts and softer interest rates, the rating agency Crisil has expected that bank credit to grow up to 13 percent in FY26 compared to 11 percent growth in FY25. It expects corporate credit, which accounts for 41 per cent of the bank books, to grow at 9-10 per cent in FY26, as against 8 per cent in the year-ago period, primarily led by higher disbursements to non-bank finance companies.
The agency added that the corporate credit growth will also benefit with downstream demand from the ongoing infrastructure buildout, especially from the cement, steel and aluminium sectors. However, Crisil has warned that the ongoing tariff wars could make companies cautious about borrowings.
The rating agency estimates retail credit, which accounts for nearly a third of the overall loans in the system, to grow at 13-14 per cent in FY26 supported by improved affordability in a lower interest rate regime in the largest segment of mortgage loans. It expects small businesses and agriculture loans to witness steady growth at 16-17 per cent and 11-12 per cent. Crisil expects the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI's) measures on liquidity to help banks on the deposit growth in the new fiscal.
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