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India likely to face more economic problems in the near term: S&P

29 Aug 2013 Evaluate

Amid rising concerns over the widening India’s current account deficit (CAD), global ratings agency Standard & Poor's (S&P) cautioned that India's running high deficit could face more economic problems in the near term. S&P said in its report on Asian economies that the road may be rocky for South and South-East Asian Economies in the near term particularly for India and Indonesia having largest deficit.  The rating agency had affirmed its 'BBB-' long-term and 'A-3' short-term unsolicited sovereign credit ratings on India, which is the lowest investment grade.

S&P said that the high current account deficit can be funded in normal times but when markets become risk averse, the countries with high CAD and high savings find it difficult to borrow in the international market. India's CAD rose to record high of $88.2 billion or 4.8 percent of the GDP in the previous fiscal on account of high gold imports and crude oil prices. Further, high CAD is also impacting the value of rupee which recently slipped to an all time low of 68.75 to a dollar.

By adding further, the rating agency said that the ongoing market turbulence largely due to uncertainties around the timing of ‘tapering’ (lowering bond purchases) by the US Federal Reserve which coincided downward revision in Asian GDP growth forecasts, most notably for China. On the positive side, the S&P stated that domestically driven economies such as India, Indonesia, China and the Philippines face lower growth risks than trade- dependent nations like Singapore and Hong Kong.

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