S&P considers more chances of credit ratings downgrade for India than Indonesia

03 Sep 2013 Evaluate

Global rating agency Standard & Poor' (S&P) considers chances of a credit ratings downgrade for India higher than that for Indonesia. It has also warned that India’s sovereign rating faces more than one in-three chance to be downgraded to the junk status within next two year.

S&P currently retains its 'negative' outlook on India's BBB-minus - or, lowest investment-grade -- long-term sovereign debt rating, while a further downgrade would push Asia's third largest economy to 'junk' status. Meanwhile, S&P has rated Indonesia at 'BB-plus.'

Few days back, sending an ominous warning for India, the international ratings agency cautioned that India's running high deficit could face more turbulence ahead. In its report, S&P underscored that the high current account deficit could be funded in normal times, but things may be difficult when there is turbulence.  It said, “In times of normal risk appetite, this dependency may not be a problem.” Further rating agency added, when markets become risk averse, economies with current account deficits often find themselves facing external financing pressure”.

India's current account deficit rose to $ 88.2 billion or 4.8% of the GDP in 2012-13. The government has already outlined a plan to bring it down to $70 billion or 3.7% of GDP and finance it fully with fresh capital flows.

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