India’s power demand to grow in range of 6-6.5% over next five years: ICRA

29 May 2025 Evaluate

With the increasing adoption of electric vehicles and green hydrogen segments along with strengthening of data centre capacity, the rating agency ICRA is eyeing country’s power demand to grow in the range of 6-6.5 per cent over the next five years. It added that these three segments are expected to contribute to 20 to 25 per cent of the incremental demand over the next five-year period from FY2026 to FY2030.

It also projected that the generation capacity addition to reach an all-time high of 44 GW in FY2026, a sharp step up from the previous high of 34 GW in FY2025, with the overall installed power generation capacity reaching close to 520 GW by March 2026. Meanwhile, it noted that the growth in demand for grid capacity is expected to be offset to some extent by the rising adoption of rooftop solar and off-grid projects, driven by schemes such as the Pradhan Mantri Surya Ghar Yojana.

ICRA noted that thermal segment to add 9 to10 GW capacity in FY2026, with the balance largely contributed by the RE (renewable energy) segment. It also noted that while RE will remain the key driver of the generation capacity addition, going forward, the thermal segment has seen an increase in under-construction capacity over the past 12 months and currently stands at over 40 GW. Additionally, ICRA has maintained a stable outlook on the thermal power segment.  

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