India to lead global oil demand growth by 2030 on economic expansion: IEA

18 Jun 2025 Evaluate

The International Energy Agency (IEA) in its latest report has said that India will lead global oil demand growth by a large margin, adding a steep 1 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2030 on the back of stellar economic expansion. It said India's demand for crude oil, which is converted into fuels like petrol and diesel in refineries, is expected to rise from 5.64 million bpd in 2024 to 6.66 million bpd in 2030.

According to the agency, the global oil demand is expected to grow by 2.5 million barrels a day by the end of the decade, reaching a plateau near 105.5 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2030. Besides, the report noted that barring any major disruption to the oil market, the world is expected to remain well supplied through the end of the decade, though rising geopolitical risks in the Middle East and unresolved trade tensions could cast a shadow over the outlook.

Besides, IEA said that India will remain the world's fastest-growing major economy in 2025 for a fourth year running and is projected to overtake Japan as the world's fourth-largest economy this year. On the global front, it stated that the United States, the world's top oil consumer, may see demand peaking at 20.47 million bpd in 2025 (20.42 million bpd in 2024) before starting to fall and may end at 20.01 million bpd in 2030, while Chinese oil demand is projected to peak in 2027 when it will touch 16.95 million bpd (16.63 million bpd in 2024) before starting to decline and reach 16.66 million bpd in 2030.


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