As per the Paris-based think-tank Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), India's economic growth prospects in the near term still remain weak and is also facing financial turmoil triggered by possible tapering of quantitative easing policy in the US. OECD Composite Leading Indicators designed to anticipate turning points in economic activities, showed growth below trend rates at 97.1 in July compared to 97.3 in the previous month.
OECD said that emerging Asian economies, which are running high current account deficits (CAD) such as India and Indonesia and more susceptible to macroeconomic risks of capital outflows. Global oil prices will remain volatile and could cloud the inflationary outlook in the near-term. Referring to the economic outlook for Asian economies, OECD said that near term growth prospects are mixed for emerging Asian economies with some sign of growth stabilisation for China and a more positive outlook for the Philippines and Singapore. However, the key imminent downside risk facing Southeast Asia, China and India is the downturn in the financial markets, triggered by the prospects of tapering of the United States quantitative easing (QE) policy, which will be resulted into high volatility in currencies of emerging nations, especially India.
At present, Indian economy is struggling with slowdown with country’s current account deficit (CAD) widened to a record high of 4.8 percent of GDP in the FY14. While, Indian economic growth slowed down to four year low at 4.4 percent in Q1 FY14.
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