Fiscal slippage to impact Indian sovereign rating: Fitch

04 Oct 2013 Evaluate

Amid rising doubts over the country’s fiscal deficit number touching around three-fourths of the budget estimate in the first five months of the fiscal, global rating agency Fitch has warned India that fiscal slippage could have negative impact on India's sovereign rating. The rating agency affirmed India's sovereign rating at 'BBB-', which is at the lowest investment grade with stable outlook.

The rating agency Fitch in its report titled 'Emerging Asia: Slowing Growth Amid Market Pressures' said that prevailing high inflation and recent rises in current account deficit (CAD) suggested that India credit profiles have limited tolerance for policy slippage. Fitch expects that the India’s inflation and CAD will stay high or rise further in coming future as the country is experiencing greatest pressure on currency as well as reserve levels.  

Presently, the government is taking measures to contain the fiscal deficit and CAD within the target limit. The government has set target to contain the CAD at 3.7 percent and fiscal deficit at 4.8 percent of GDP in the current financial year. On fiscal deficit front, the government had announced slew of austerity measures including reduction in non-plan expenditure, ban on holding seminars in five-star hotels and creation of new jobs. While, to contain country’s CAD, the government has recently put several restrictions on rising imports especially of gold and also taking measures to boost Indian industry exports.

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