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Indian economy responds quite satisfactorily to global headwinds; GDP likely to touch 7% in FY26: CEA

30 Oct 2025 Evaluate

Exuding confidence that real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of India is likely to touch 7 per cent in FY26, Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran has said the Indian economy responded quite satisfactorily to global headwinds. He said three global rating agencies have recently upgraded their ratings on India, and if the country continues on the same track, India can ‘soon’ break into the 'A' rating category. He noted that the resilience shown by the economy, coupled with measures by the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), places the Indian economy in a ‘comfortable position’.

He added the policy measures, including relief in income tax and the recent GST rationalization ‘have combined to improve the economic growth prospects for this year to near or around 7 per cent in real terms for FY26’. In February, he had estimated that real GDP growth may fall to as low as 6.3 per cent for FY26, and the US' tariff moves led them to further revise their expectation down to 6 per cent.

Regarding the critique of sluggish bank credit growth, he said one must look at the total resource mobilization in the economy, including the money raised through non-bank lenders, commercial paper, certificate of deposits, equity markets etc, to arrive at a conclusion. Citing RBI data, he said the total resource mobilization in the economy has increased by 28.5 per cent per annum over the last six years.

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