Manufacturing sector growth likely to slow down further: CII survey

21 Nov 2011 Evaluate

Growth in the manufacturing sector has moderated in the first half of current financial year compared to the corresponding period of the last financial year, and it is likely to slow down further in the ongoing quarter because of increase in input cost and uncertainties in the global economy.

'The manufacturing sector has observed moderation in growth during April-Sep 2011 compared to the corresponding period of the previous year. The industry expects further moderation in growth in the third quarter -- Oct-Dec 2011,' said a Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) Ascon survey.

The survey further stated that the number of sectors recording excellent and high growth is expected to decline and shift to moderate growth category. Out of 103 sectors covered by the survey, those reporting excellent growth of more than 20% declined to 10.6% in April-September 2011 compared to 35.7%  in April-September 2010.

During April-September 2011, 43.6% sectors recorded a moderate growth rate compared to 38.9% sectors in the previous period. The percentage of sectors with high growth rate has increased from 16.7% in April-September 2010 to 24.2% in the same quarter in 2011. The sectors registering a negative growth rate have increased significantly to 21.3% from a low of 8.7%, which is a clear sign of decelerating growth.

The CII survey also showed that further slowdown in growth with a larger number of sectors is declining in the moderate category of growth of 0-10%. Out of 85 sectors covered by the survey for the period Oct-Dec 2011, the percentage of sectors reporting excellent growth of more than 20% is expected to decline to 7% from 10.4% in July-September 2011 and 20.7% in April-June 2011.

As per the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), the manufacturing sector grew by just 5.4% in the first six months of 2011-12, compared to 8.8% in corresponding period of 2010-11. And in September 2011, it grew a modest 2.1% compared to 6.9% in September 2010. 

Chandrajit Banerjee, director general of CII said, 'high input and capital cost and uncertainties in the global economy are the major factors constraining growth of the manufacturing sector. These issues need to be addressed at the earliest to help industry overcome the ongoing decelerating growth phase.

While the categories like basic goods, intermediate goods, capital goods and consumer non-durables have fewer sectors in the excellent and high growth brackets, consumer durables have a larger share of sectors growing at a high rate. The worst performing category is intermediate goods that have a maximum number of sectors expected to record negative growth.

© 2026 The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved. MoneyWorks4Me ® is a registered trademark of The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd.

×