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Benchmarks likely to make flat to positive start amid strong global cues

24 Dec 2025 Evaluate

Indian equity markets are likely to make a flat to positive start on Wednesday, supported by strong global cues. However, some cautiousness may come amid continued foreign fund outflows, as foreign institutional investors (FIIs) offloaded shares worth Rs 1,794.80 crore.

Some of the key factors to be watched:

Hope to conclude trade talks with US sooner than later: Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal said India is actively engaged in trade discussions with the US, and hopes to conclude the talks ‘sooner than later’ in a manner that restores deeper market access for domestic exporters.

India-New Zealand FTA to offer zero-duty access for 100% of Indian exports: Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) President S C Ralhan said that, upon entry into force, the free trade agreement (FTA) between India and New Zealand will provide zero-duty access on 100 per cent of India's exports, with tariff elimination across all tariff lines or product categories.

RBI to boost liquidity through Open Market Operations, USD/INR Swap: The Reserve Bank of India said it will purchase government securities worth Rs 2 lakh crore and conduct a $10 billion buy/sell dollar-rupee swap auction to inject liquidity in the banking system.

Over 15 lakh revised ITRs filed for current assessment year 2025-26: The income tax department said that over 15 lakh taxpayers have filed a revised return for the current assessment year 2025-26. Also, over 21 lakh taxpayers have updated their income tax returns during the current fiscal and paid Rs 2,500 crore in taxes.

Government to tap e-tailers, online sources for price data in new CPI series: The government proposes to include online sources as well as e-commerce platforms to compute retail inflation in a bid to substantially improve reliability, accuracy, and overall quality of the consumer price index (CPI).

On the global front: The US markets ended in green on Tuesday, after the Commerce Department released a report showing the U.S. economy grew by much more than expected in the third quarter of 2025. Asian markets are trading mostly in green on Wednesday, following the positive cues from Wall Street overnight. 

Back home, Indian equity benchmarks traded in a narrow range and ended flat on Tuesday following profit-taking in TECK, IT and Healthcare shares and mixed global cues. A thin year-end trading volumes coupled with foreign capital outflows also weighed on sentiments. Foreign institutional investors offloaded equities worth Rs 457.34 crore on Monday, according to exchange data. Finally, the BSE Sensex fell 42.64 points or 0.05% to 85,524.84 and the CNX Nifty was up by 4.75 points or 0.02% to 26,177.15.       

Some of the important factors in trade:

India’s trade negotiations for BTA with US reach at advanced stage: Commerce and Industry Minister Piyush Goyal has said that India’s trade negotiations for a bilateral trade agreement (BTA) with the United States (US) are reached at advanced stage. 

November sees slower 1.8% growth in eight key infrastructure sectors output: The output of eight key infrastructure sectors grew at a slower pace of 1.8 per cent in November 2025 as compared to 5.8 per cent in the same month last year, amid a dip in production of crude oil, natural gas, refinery products, and electricity.

Resilience in economy due to coordinated fiscal monetary polices: A Reserve Bank bulletin said coordinated fiscal, monetary and regulatory policies have helped build resilience in the economy, which is not fully immune to the external sector headwinds.

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