India's goods and services exports may grow by 3% to $850 billion in FY26: GTRI

26 Dec 2025 Evaluate

Global Trade Research Initiative (GTRI) has said that India's goods and services exports are expected to rise by 3% to $850 billion in current financial year (FY26). In FY25, the overall exports touched $825 billion ($438 billion in merchandise and $387 billion in services).

It said India’s exports in 2026 will face a far tougher global trade environment than it has seen in years. It stated growing protectionism in developed countries, weakening global demand and new climate-linked trade barriers are colliding just as India is trying to scale up exports. 

GTRI founder Ajay Srivastava said the result is an outlook marked less by expansion and more by the challenge of holding ground. Srivastava said ‘In FY26, goods exports are likely to stay broadly flat, squeezed by weak global demand and renewed US tariff pressure, while services exports may inch past $400 billion. That would lift total exports to roughly $850 billion’.


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