Indian economy on strong growth path, banking sector remains sound: RBI report

01 Jan 2026 Evaluate

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its December 2025 edition of the Financial Stability Report (FSR) has said that the Indian economy is growing at a robust pace, fueled by strong domestic demand, low inflation, and the healthy balance sheets of banks. The domestic financial system remains robust and resilient, supported by strong balance sheets, favorable financial conditions, and low financial market volatility.

The report, which reflects the collective assessment of the Sub-Committee of the Financial Stability and Development Council (FSDC) on the resilience of the Indian financial system and risks to financial stability, mentioned that there are near-term risks from external uncertainties - geopolitical and trade-related. The report noted that the real gross domestic product (GDP) growth surprised on the upside in both Q1 2025-26 and Q2 2025-26 at 7.8 per cent and 8.2 per cent, respectively, driven by strong private consumption and public investment. It mentioned growth outlook remains positive, supported by low inflation, favorable financial conditions, above normal monsoon, direct and indirect tax reforms, and the ongoing expansion of digital public infrastructure. 

Further, it said the health of scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) remains strong, with solid capital and liquidity buffers, improved asset quality, and robust profitability. It added Macro stress test results affirm the resilience of SCBs to withstand losses under hypothetical adverse scenarios and maintain capital buffers well above the regulatory minimum. Stress tests also confirm the resilience of mutual funds and clearing corporations.

According to the report, the gross non-performing assets ratio of banks will improve further to 1.9 per cent by March 2027 under a baseline scenario. As of September 2025, the key ratio stood at a multi-decade low of 2.1 per cent. The aggregate GNPA ratio of the 46 banks may improve from 2.1 per cent in September 2025 to 1.9 per cent in March 2027 under the baseline scenario.


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