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Indian economic growth likely to remain below 5 percent in current fiscal: CII survey

15 Oct 2013 Evaluate

As per the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) survey, Indian economic growth is likely to remain below 5 percent in the current fiscal. CII survey, based on the assessment of CEOs, indicated that ongoing economic slowdown has weighed down the confidence of India Inc as 42 percent of the respondents expected the economy to grow in the range of 4.5 to 5 percent. Further, 65 percent of the respondents expect that economic growth recovery will not take place before the second quarter of next fiscal.

Indicating that Indian economy is moving towards a situation of stagflation, the survey added that majority of the respondents (42 percent of CEOs) expected inflation to increase moderately in the second half of the year. Referring to the domestic currency, 53 percent of the respondents expected the rupee to prevail below 62 per dollar by the end of the current fiscal with current account deficit easing. Moreover, political uncertainty was ranked as the highest risk factor in coming future, affecting the business confidence of India Inc.

Regarding the country’s infrastructure sector, 56 percent of the respondents did not feel that the recently set up Cabinet Committee on Investment (CCI) had raised investments so far at the ground level. Meanwhile, in order to revive investment demand, industry body expressed the need for strengthening policy intervention by both the government as well as RBI, adding that the government should focus on stepping up capital expenditure whereas RBI should adopt a softer monetary stance.

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