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  3. Indian economy likely to grow at 6.5 percent by second half of 2015: Moody's Analytics

Indian economy likely to grow at 6.5 percent by second half of 2015: Moody's Analytics

18 Oct 2013 Evaluate

Moody's Analytics, an arm of the global credit ratings agency Moody's, has said that Indian economy has bottomed out and recovery is on the way on the back of improved investments, as the government has been actively trying to restart stalled investment projects, both in the public and private sectors. However, the recovery will be modest, as weak business sentiment will take time to turn around and fixed investment is expected to grow by 3.5 per cent in 2014 after being flat in 2013.

By adding further, Moody’s said that Indian economy would not achieve 8 percent GDP growth rate again soon and is likely to grow at its potential growth rate of 6.5 per cent by the second half of 2015. Weak investment scenario amid prevailing global economic slowdown and contracted consumer demand on account of high inflation has slowed down Indian economy’s growth to around 5 percent in FY13 from average growth rate of over 8 percent recorded over the past few fiscal years. It added that prudent macroeconomic policies and continued reforms will drive steady acceleration in economic activity, although the upturn will be patchy and difficult for the coming six months.

Recently, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has cut Indian economic forecast to 3.75 percent in 2013 from 5.7 percent projected earlier, while, the World Bank has revised economic growth forecast downwards to 4.7 percent for the current fiscal from 6.1 percent growth projected earlier. At present, Indian economy is struggling with slowdown and its growth has slowed down to four year low at 4.4 percent in April-June quarter, 2013. Further, all macro-economic indicators have deteriorated with current account deficit (CAD) widening to a record high of 4.9 per cent of GDP in the April-June quarter, 2013. Further, rupee value has also depreciated over 15 percent against dollar in 2013, which has become a cause of concern for the country, as India is structurally an import intensive country.

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