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Volatile rupee is reflection of uncertainty in international market: FM

22 Nov 2011 Evaluate

Commenting on the historical decline in Indian rupee, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said the volatility in the Indian rupee is a reflection of the uncertainty in the international market. The rupee skidded to an all-time low on as oil refiners and other companies jumbled to buy dollars, with the currency looking increasingly weak to an enlarging current account deficit.

The rupee declined by 58 paise to its all time low of Rs 52.73 per dollar in early trade on November 22. The main reason for record fall in rupee is continued dollar demand from importers, mainly from oil refiners, to meet the month-end requirements amid the expectations of a further rise in the dollar value overseas because of the lingering European debt.

On the role of Reserve Bank of India (RBI), finance minister said that the central bank would have been helpful if the fall was due to domestic factors. However, he expects that there will be a self correction in market.

This record decline in rupee is expected to hurt country’s current account deficit, and it is also expected to increase the borrowing cost of overseas loan for Indian Inc, who are looking for cheap funds to meet their investment as well as other requirements. 

Exposure to short-term portfolio flows, a rising oil import bill and slowing export growth have heightened the risk on the rupee and the outlook remains bearish. On the other hand, trade secretary Rahul Khullar asked not to overreact to the weakening rupee, after the local currency skidded to an all-time low.

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