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CAD to be lower than the projection of 3.8% of the GDP: Montek

21 Oct 2013 Evaluate

Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia has reassured government’s commitment to bring down the Current Account Deficit (CAD) to a more tolerable state and has said that CAD is likely to be lower than the projection of 3.8 percent of the GDP and India will be in a better position to neutralise the impact of the tapering of monetary stimulus by the US Fed

The government has proposed to bring the CAD down to $70 billion or 3.8% of the GDP from its all-time high of 4.8% of GDP or $88.2 billion reached during 2012-13.

Ahluwalia elaborating his assumptions said that “Taper is delayed, secondly the CAD looks good. By the time taper happens, we are going to look in much better shape. Now rupee has come to a much more maintainable position. So the threat on the rupee will be much less as and when the taper happens. So we will be in a better situation next year.”

Though, he also said that Finance Ministry made this projection of CAD six months ago probably on higher assumption of growth but the situation is that growth is low and the imports too are affected because of growth. However, in view of the growth grooming because of agriculture and its impact on non-agriculture demand which is not very import intensive then current account deficit may be lower.

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