India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has said that the domestic jewellery retail industry is expected to record nearly 18 per cent revenue growth in FY27, with rising bullion prices expected to drive value growth. Ind-Ra has revised its FY26 revenue growth estimate upward by 600 bps to 23 per cent YoY, led by price effects, and expects it to settle at a high-teen rate (18 per cent) for FY27 on a high base.
Consequently, it has revised its outlook on the retail jewellery sector to neutral from improving for FY27. Preeti Kumaran, Senior Analyst, India Ratings & Research said ‘Jewellery volumes are set to drop sharply in FY26 - the steepest post-pandemic decline, due to high gold prices, but strong festive and wedding-season buying in 2HFY26 boosted sentiments, even at record high prices, leading to an upward revision in our revenue growth expectations.’ She stated reshaping buyer behaviour to accept record-high gold prices as the new normal, along with re-aligning the product mix by increasing the proportion of studded jewellery, lower-purity (9k, 14k and 18k) gold jewellery, light and ultra-light pieces for the mass segment to accelerate inventory turns, will help jewellers in navigating industry challenges over the near to medium term.
Besides, the report noted that with gold outperforming with exceptional returns among various asset classes, investment demand is expected to remain steady. In the current volatile pricing environment, the report stated most jewellers will keep hedging through daily or weekly replenishment models to average out prices, and overall revenue growth is likely to remain intact, as price gains offset any volume decline and volume growth offsets any price corrections.
MoneyWorks4Me is a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser (IA) dedicated to helping investors build long-term wealth through transparent, research-driven, conflict-free guidance. Founded in 2008, we started our journey as a Research Analyst (RA), providing deep fundamental analysis, intrinsic value insights, and long-term investing frameworks for Indian equities. In 2017, we transitioned to a full-fledged SEBI-registered Investment Adviser, strengthening our commitment to acting as a fiduciary—always putting the investor’s interest first.
To become India’s most trusted, research-powered fiduciary advisory platform—where every investor, regardless of experience, can make calm, confident, and well-reasoned investment decisions.
MoneyWorks4Me ensures this through: