SEBI Reg. Investment Advisor

Download App

MoneyWorks4Me

Bank credit growth likely to ease below 12% in FY27 amid West Asia conflict: ICRA

23 Apr 2026 Evaluate

Domestic ratings agency ICRA in its latest report has said India’s banking sector is likely to see a moderation in credit growth in this financial year (FY27) largely due to ongoing conflict in West Asia and changing interest rate dynamics. It has projected bank credit growth to ease to below 12 per cent in FY27, down from 15.6 per cent achieved in FY26.

According to the report, rising geopolitical uncertainties would lead to an uptick in slippages from the small businesses and unsecured loan exposures. It noted that credit growth will moderate to 11-11.7 per cent, which will involve an expansion of up to Rs 25 lakh crore to take the overall outstanding credit to around Rs 237 lakh crore at the end of March 2027. It said that ‘deposit growth continued to lag the credit growth in FY26, but we saw some pickup towards the end of the fiscal year as banks started pushing to raise funds.’ It said the deposit mobilisation at finer rates remains a key challenge and noted that net interest margins will continue to be under pressure as the cost of deposits is not expected to decrease materially.

ICRA said banks' ability to raise deposits at better rates would be important for sustainable credit growth and adequate profitability, reminding that lenders have opted to draw down on surplus liquidity buffers in FY26, like reducing the excess statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) holdings to support credit growth. Going forward, it expects the ongoing geopolitical uncertainties to cast a shadow over MSMEs and unsecured retail loans, which would push up the slippage rate, leading to a slight increase in gross non-performing advances (GNPAs). Nonetheless, GNPAs would stay benign at 2.0-2.1 per cent in FY27. Overall, ICRA has maintained a stable outlook on the banking sector, citing adequate capitalisation, manageable asset quality risks, and steady profitability, despite a more complex global macroeconomic environment. 

About MoneyWorks4Me

MoneyWorks4Me is a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser (IA) dedicated to helping investors build long-term wealth through transparent, research-driven, conflict-free guidance. Founded in 2008, we started our journey as a Research Analyst (RA), providing deep fundamental analysis, intrinsic value insights, and long-term investing frameworks for Indian equities. In 2017, we transitioned to a full-fledged SEBI-registered Investment Adviser, strengthening our commitment to acting as a fiduciary—always putting the investor’s interest first.

Our Vision

To become India’s most trusted, research-powered fiduciary advisory platform—where every investor, regardless of experience, can make calm, confident, and well-reasoned investment decisions.

What Makes MoneyWorks4Me Different

Our Approach: Ensuring compounding work its magic on client portfolio.

MoneyWorks4Me ensures this through:

×