Moody's Ratings in a report on emerging market has said that India has been the most resilient large emerging market economy since 2020, and its large forex reserves have played a key role in curbing currency fluctuations and sustaining investor confidence during global shocks. According to the report, India is well-positioned to handle future shocks on account of monetary policy frameworks are clear and predictable, inflation expectations are well anchored, and exchange rates can adjust when needed.
It stated ‘India's reliance on domestic funding is balanced by deep local markets and sizeable reserves... Nevertheless, India's relatively high debt burden and weak fiscal balance limit the amount of space available to respond to successive shocks.’ It noted India had made key policy choices that bolstered stability even before the recent period of stress.
Further it said that many major emerging-market sovereigns have absorbed a series of major global shocks over the past five years without sharp increase in risk premia or a loss of market access. This reflects sustained improvements in policy frameworks and the buildup of buffers, as well as particularly supportive external conditions.
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