SEBI Reg. Investment Advisor

Download App

MoneyWorks4Me

CEA says West Asia turmoil effectively live stress test for India's balance of payments

13 May 2026 Evaluate

Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) V Anantha Nageswaran has said the current West Asia crisis is effectively a live stress test for India's balance of payments, with direct consequences for inflation, the current account, and the exchange rate. Nevertheless, India's fiscal consolidation path, infrastructure investment, and reforms provide it a base to navigate the current environment of conflict. 

Nageswaran said that India imports 87% of its crude oil, of which 46% is transiting through or near the Strait of Hormuz, where the seven-day moving average of tanker traffic has dropped to just five vessels. 60% of our LPG is imported, over 90% via the Gulf. 38%of annual remittances originate in Gulf countries. He stated ‘The West Asia crisis, therefore, is not a foreign policy concern that occasionally bleeds into economic planning. It is a live balance of payments stress test, with direct consequences for inflation, the current account, and the exchange rate. Managing the current account credibly, financing it, and preventing further currency depreciation are the central macroeconomic imperatives of FY27’.

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively closed for the past two months following the US and Israel attacked Iran, pushing global crude prices higher by over 60%. India's import bill is expected to balloon since it imports about 90% of its domestic crude oil needs, thereby denting India's foreign exchange reserves. The West Asia crisis is expected to expand India’s current account deficit (CAD) and lead to a weaker balance of payments (BoP).


About MoneyWorks4Me

MoneyWorks4Me is a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser (IA) dedicated to helping investors build long-term wealth through transparent, research-driven, conflict-free guidance. Founded in 2008, we started our journey as a Research Analyst (RA), providing deep fundamental analysis, intrinsic value insights, and long-term investing frameworks for Indian equities. In 2017, we transitioned to a full-fledged SEBI-registered Investment Adviser, strengthening our commitment to acting as a fiduciary—always putting the investor’s interest first.

Our Vision

To become India’s most trusted, research-powered fiduciary advisory platform—where every investor, regardless of experience, can make calm, confident, and well-reasoned investment decisions.

What Makes MoneyWorks4Me Different

Our Approach: Ensuring compounding work its magic on client portfolio.

MoneyWorks4Me ensures this through: