Bond yields gain on rate hike hopes in RBI’s upcoming monetary policy meet

13 Dec 2013 Evaluate

Bond yields spurted as November’s retail inflation data which jumped up to nine-month high at 11.24%, fuelled expectations that RBI would hike key rates by 25 basis points in its upcoming monetary policy on December 18. Additionally, the yields also edged higher after Reserve Bank of India (RBI)’s governor, Raghuram Rajan underscored inflation was higher than the central bank's comfort zone, while growth was weaker than estimated and vowed to calibrate policy carefully.

On the global front, U.S. Treasury prices slipped on Thursday after stronger-than-expected retail sales data, which indicated fourth-quarter domestic growth might be less weak than some had thought, prompted traders to trim their bond holdings. Meanwhile, brent crude held above $108 a barrel on Friday as traders eyed a restart of ports in eastern Libya while also looking ahead to next week's Federal Reserve meeting for any changes to its massive stimulus programme.

Back home, the new 10 year Government Stock 2023 were trading 4 basis points higher at 8.89% from its previous close of 8.85% on Thursday.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading 6 basis points higher at 8.47% from its previous close of 8.41% on Thursday.

As the liquidity conditions are expected to tighten on account of advance tax payments commencing from mid-December 2013, Reserve Bank has decided to provide additional liquidity of Rs 10,000 crore through the 14-day term repo scheduled to be conducted on December 13, 2013 (Friday). Accordingly, with this, the notified amount for the 14-day term repo auction to be conducted on December 13, 2013 will be adjusted upwards by Rs 10,000 crore.

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