Bonds climb higher tracking an uptick in the weekly food inflation data

09 Jun 2011 Evaluate

Pre Weekly Food Inflation Data Scenario:

Bond yields rose on Thursday tracking a rise in U.S. yields, meanwhile higher global crude oil prices also led traders trim their position anticipating that this would impact domestic inflationary expectations, thereby sending the yields higher. Also traders making room ahead of Rs 12,000 crore bonds sale was also prompting investors to sell debt.

On the global front, the U.S. Treasuries prices rose on Wednesday, pushing a key benchmark yield below 3 percent as the economy's lagging recovery and a sixth straight day of stock market losses heightened the appeal of safe-haven government debt. Brent crude rose to $118 on Thursday after Saudi Arabia failed to convince OPEC to raise output targets, and data showed U.S. crude stocks fell sharply last week.

The yields on 10-year benchmark; the 7.80%-2021 was trading higher at 8.27% from Wednesday’s close of 8.24%.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were tad higher at 7.82% from its previous close of 7.81% on Wednesday.

The Government of India after market hours on Monday announced the sale of three dated securities for Rs 12,000 crore on June 10, 2011. This auction includes the re-issue) of (i) “7.83% Government Stock 2018” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal), (ii) “7.80% Government Stock 2021” for a notified amount of  Rs 6,000 crore (nominal) and (iii) “8.26% Government Stock 2027” for a notified amount of Rs 3,000 crore (nominal) through price based auctions. The auctions will be conducted using uniform price method.

Post Weekly Food Inflation Data Scenario:

Stubborn food inflation numbers have ricocheted a week after showing some signs of moderating and have put the Indian central bank in a tight corner. According to the data released by Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the index for Food Articles group rose to 9.01 percent for the week ended May 28, from 8.06 percent for the previous week due to higher prices of tea, pork and maize, jowar, fish-inland and milk, egg, urad, barley, poultry chicken and wheat. The index for primary articles group which has the highest weightage of 20.12% in WPI rose to 11.52 percent for the week ended May 28, from 10.87 percent for the previous week. Meanwhile, the index for Fuel and Power group which has weightage of 14.91% remained unchanged at its previous week's level.

The yields on 10-year benchmark; the 7.80%-2021 was trading higher at 8.28% from Wednesday's close of 8.24% tracking an uptick in weekly food and primary articles inflation.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swap edged lower at 7.79% from previous 7.81% on Wednesday.

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