Bond yields edge lower on bargain-buying post release of 14-month high November inflation data

16 Dec 2013 Evaluate

Bond yields edged lower as some bargain-buying kicked in after the bond prices fell in a knee jerk reaction to 14 months high November inflation data, whereas, gains in the rupee also helped. On the macro-front, cementing case for a 25 basis point rate hike in RBI’s upcoming mid-quarterly policy review, India's main inflation gauge, based on monthly WPI, accelerated to highest level since September 2012 at 7.52% for the month of November as against eight month high figure of 7.00% (Provisional) for the previous month of October and 7.24% during the corresponding month in the previous year, mainly driven by food price inflation which rose at the fastest clip since June 2010. Meanwhile, Indian currency snapping three consecutive sessions’ declining streak and paring all the morning losses, appreciated below the ‘62/$’ level in intra-day trade on persistent dollar selling by some state run banks.

On the global front, long-dated U.S. Treasury prices rose on Friday as the yield curve flattened amid muted inflation, which reinforced the idea that the Federal Reserve would not reduce bond purchases aimed at stimulating the economy until 2014. Meanwhile, brent crude rose above $109 a barrel on Monday as supply concerns revived after Libya failed to reach a deal with tribal leaders to end the blockade of several oil-exporting ports.

Back home, the new 10 year Government Stock 2023 were trading 2 basis points lower at 8.89%, after rising as much as 3 bps to 8.94% following higher-than expected wholesale inflation against previous close of 8.91% on Friday.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading 1 basis point lower at 8.50% from its previous close of 8.51% on Friday.

The Reserve Bank of India has announced the auction of 91 and 182 days Government of India Treasury Bills for notified amount of Rs 6,000 crore each. The auction will be conducted on December 18, 2013 using 'Multiple Price Auction' method.

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