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Bond yields edge lower on easing inflation

16 Jan 2014 Evaluate

Bond yields edged lower as RBI plans to provide 100 billion rupees via a 28-day term repo auction on Friday. Nevertheless, bonds gained momentum on account of fall in headline inflation and in the absence of an auction. The 10-year yields have dropped 16 basis points over the last four trading sessions largely on the back of the lower inflation rate which is expected to prompt the central bank to hold rates at its policy review later this month. The government has also deferred this week's debt sale which will limit a sharp fall in bond prices.

On the global front, U.S. Treasury yields rose on Wednesday after U.S. producer prices recorded their largest increase in six months in December, raising expectations that inflation may start picking up and potentially bringing forward the timeline in which the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates. Meanwhile, brent crude fell below $107 a barrel on Thursday, as expectations of more supply from the Middle East and North Africa outweighed a large drop in U.S. crude stockpiles.

Back home, the yields on new 10 year Government Stock 2023 were trading 2 basis points lower at 8.62% from its previous close of 8.64% on Wednesday.

The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading 1 basis point lower at 8.14% from its previous close of 8.15% on Wednesday.

The Reserve Bank of India has announced the auction of 91 and 182 days Government of India Treasury Bills for notified amount of Rs 4,000 crore and Rs 3000 crore respectively. The auction was conducted on January 15, 2014 using 'Multiple Price Auction' method. Eleven State Government Securities have offered to sell securities by way of auction for an aggregate amount of Rs 11,500 crore on January 15, 2014.

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