Bond yields edged lower on Monday, tracking strong opening for rupee and absence of bond supply for rest of fiscal year. However, January CPI numbers and December factory data due on Wednesday and WPI data due on Friday would dictate the trend of yields. Nevertheless, volumes may remain lower for today’s trading session as most public-sector bank employees are on a two-day strike demanding higher wages.
On the currency front, the Indian currency gained momentum after Central Statistics Office (CSO), pegged economic growth rate for 2013-14 at 4.9 against 4.5 percent in 2012-13 and also tad higher than the general expectation of a growth of 4.7-4.8 percent, while the rise of 113,000 US payrolls fell well short of a forecast increase of 185,000, the details were not bad enough to influence the Federal Reserve from steadily winding down its bond-buying stimulus.
On the global front, US Treasuries yields fell on Friday after employers hired far fewer workers than expected in January, suggesting a loss of momentum in the economy at the same time as the Federal Reserve pares its bond purchase program. Meanwhile, brent crude cooled off from five-week high level of above $109 a barrel on Monday as investors look ahead to more US and Chinese economic data this week that could shed greater light on the demand outlook in the world's two largest oil consumers.
Back home, the yields on new 10 year Government Stock 2023 were trading 4 basis points lower at 8.70% from its previous close of 8.74% on Friday.
The benchmark five-year interest rate swaps were trading 3 basis points lower at 8.37% from its previous close of 8.40% on Friday.
The Reserve Bank of India has announced the auction of 91-days and 182-days Government of India Treasury Bills for notified amount of Rs 7,000 crore and Rs 6000 crore respectively. The auction will be conducted on February 12, 2014 using 'Multiple Price Auction' method.
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