Moody’s raises concern over fragmented mandate

12 Feb 2014 Evaluate

International rating agency Moody’s Investors Service, much ahead of the general elections has raised concern about the possible fragmented mandate in the forthcoming general elections and has said that fragmented government, without a clear mandate or policy platform, would increase the risk of downgrade for India. Not only this, the ratings agency has also warned that if a coalition of regional parties without a common economic reform agenda forms the government, there is an increased risk of flight of capital.

However, the rating agency has also underscored that a strong mandate to one party would not cause the rating agency to review India's creditworthiness. This is because Moody’s does not believe that a strong showing by one of the major parties would, by itself, translate into an immediate improvement in India's economic growth and fiscal consolidation and the emergence of a strong coalition as a result of the upcoming general elections in India would not act as a near-term game changer for Indian creditworthiness.

On the positive side the report stated that a fresh mandate will present the next government with a window of opportunity to enact reforms already in the pipeline. India has a Baa3 stable rating, which is on the edge of investment grade. A downgrade will erode India’s attractiveness as a global business hotspot and investment destination.

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