Allaying any fear of further rise in the Current Account Deficit (CAD) for the fiscal, Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC) Chairman C Rangarajan has said that India's CAD is expected to be around two percent of GDP during the current fiscal on the back of slackening imports and increased shipments.
There has been constant effort from both the government and the Reserve Bank of India to bring down gold imports, one of the major causes for the widening of the CAD in 2012-13. As a result, in the first half (April-September) of 2013-14, CAD narrowed to $26.9 billion (3.1 percent of GDP) from $37.9 billion (4.5 percent) in the same period last fiscal.
Rangarajan has said that “Several things have happened. Exports have picked up. Imports have come down not only in relation to gold but also in relation to oil. The CAD would certainly come down below two percent or around two percent of the GDP.” He further said that the low growth period is over and one can expect better growth in the second half of the year.
Earlier, RBI describing high CAD as the biggest risk to Indian economy had said that any further deterioration of CAD could result in its policy reversal stance.Rangrajan has further said that RBI would have “greater room to operate” vis-a-vis deciding on interest rates if the current declining trend in inflation persists.
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