Q3 GDP grows at 4.7% versus 4.8% in Q2

03 Mar 2014 Evaluate

Reflecting the underlying weaknesses in Asia's third-largest economy, the gross domestic product (GDP) for the third Quarter (October-December) of 2013-14 recorded sub 5% growth for the fifth consecutive quarter, as it came in a shade lower than expectation at 4.7% at Rs 14.8 lakh crore as against  Rs 14.1 lakh crore in the same quarter a  year ago. There was wide expectation of Q3 GDP data coming flat on sequential basis at 4.8%, compared to 4.5% on a year-on-year (Y-o-Y) basis.

The growth in agriculture sector which comprises 14-15% of the GDP slowed down to 3.6% against 4.6% in the previous quarter. Worryingly, the manufacturing growth too saw a negative trend at - 1.9% against 1% quarter-on-quarter and 2.5% in the same quarter of the previous year. Additionally, the mining sector too reflected the slowdown by de-growing 1.6 percent against -2 percent in Q3FY13.

On the flip side, the economic activities which registered significant growth in Q3 of 2013-14 over Q3 of 2012-13 were ‘financing, insurance, real estate and business services’ at 12.5% against 10% in the previous quarter , ‘community, social & personal services’ at 7.0% v/s 4.2% in Q2 , ‘trade, hotels, transport and communication’ at 4.3% against 4%. However, the growth rate in ‘construction’ slowed down to 0.6% as compared to 4.3% in the previous quarter and  ‘electricity, gas & water supply at 5.0% v/s 7.7% in previous quarter.

Industrial output including manufacturing and mining, which contributes around a quarter of India's $1.8 trillion economy, contracted at rates of between 1.3% and 0.6% during the October-December period from a year earlier.  Elevated borrowing costs have added to manufacturers' woes after the Reserve Bank of India hiked interest rates three times between September and January to curb stubborn inflation which showed no signs of easing even as growth tumbled.

The sluggish data added to the woes of the government ahead of the national elections and is expected to provide fresh ammunition to opposition, who have blamed the UPA coalition for the sharp slowdown in growth.

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