Natural gas likely to outpace all energy sources by 2035

19 Mar 2014 Evaluate

The global natural energy consumption is likely to grow by an average 1.9% per year during the period 2012-2035, which would also make natural gas a fastest growing energy source until 2035. According to a latest BP Energy Outlook 2035, the demand of natural gas will outpace all other energy sources, leading to higher natural gas prices, including LNG.

The BP report forecasted that global energy consumption will grow by 41% from 2012 to 2035 and over 95% of this demand growth is expected to come from emerging economies including China and India with the share of these countries accounting for around 25% by 2035. Meanwhile, natural gas demand in the members of the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), a group of advanced economies, is expected to grow slowly and begin to decline in the later years of the forecast period, as these countries are becoming more fuel efficient, by generating more income out of each unit of energy, resulting in a slowdown in their energy demand. Non-OECD countries including China and India, are expected to generate 78 percent of natural gas demand growth during the forecasted period. Furthermore, shale gas supplies are projected to meet 46% of the growth in gas demand and account for 21% of world gas and 68% of US gas production by 2035.

The report highlighted that fossil fuels will continue to remain dominant as compared to non-fossil fuels. As per the report, fossil fuels like oil, gas and coal are likely to have a market shares of about 26-27% each by 2035, while, non-fossil fuels include nuclear, hydroelectricity and renewable would remain with a share of around 5-7% each. 

The consumption of natural gas is growing rapidly because it is increasingly being used as a cleaner alternative to coal for power generation as well as in other sectors. At present, around 25% of total India’s natural gas demand is met through imports. India dependence on natural gas imports is likely to increase in future and any rise in global natural gas prices would adversely impact the domestic economic growth.

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