The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has attributed slump in infrastructure and corporate investment a major reason for India's recent growth slowdown. Indian economy’s growth declined to a decade low at 4.5 percent in FY13 and 4.6 percent during the first three quarter of FY14.
IMF noted that the recent investment gloom in India is mainly due to deteriorating business confidence and heightened uncertainty regarding the future course of broader economic policies. Though, a portion of the recent investment slowdown can also be attributed to the increase in financing costs. IMF further added that country’s economic policy is directly correlated to investment and heightened policy uncertainty over the recent years has led to decline in new investments and increase value of investments. Therefore, these investments have either been postponed or cancelled on account of rising value.
Referring to Indian economy’s outlook, the IMF said that in the near term, lowering nominal interest rates may provide some relief in terms of a reduced interest burden, especially to corporates with high leverage. However, in the medium term, lower rates with little slack in the economy would stoke inflation further and exacerbate inflation trends across sectors, hurting investment.
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