Pharma companies' sales to rise after gradual easing of Covid-19 related lockdown: Fitch

31 Aug 2020 Evaluate

Fitch Ratings in its latest report said that Indian pharmaceutical companies' sales will rise after a gradual easing of the coronavirus pandemic-related lockdown measures that caused disruptions across most markets in Q1 (April-June) of FY21. It said this will underpin profitability in the quarter ending September even after normalisation in costs following cuts in Q1 that helped to support profitability despite the impact of the coronavirus.

According to the report, travel restrictions to contain the pandemic reduced the number of doctor visits and hospitals prioritised Covid-19 treatment over other elective procedures. It noted that these affected prescriptions and drug sales volume, particularly those used to treat acute medical conditions with the monthly volume drop varying from high single digits to mid-double digits across markets. Nonetheless, it said resilient sales in chronic segments and active pharma ingredients (API) -- for companies with in-house manufacturing -- limited the overall impact.

Fitch further said some of the indirect costs like travel and marketing costs that were low due to the lockdown measures are likely to return to normal in line with the gradual easing of restrictions since May and June. Nonetheless, it said the gradual easing has led to a rise in doctor visits and elective procedures since May in key markets. It added that this will benefit sales, particularly in acute therapy areas, and support profitability in Q2, notwithstanding the uncertainty over the duration and impact of the pandemic for the rest of FY21.

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